There is an invisible factor for many that contributed to the expansion of militias’ spread and influence, which is the association of some of them with external intelligence in a later period,
These militias were linked to some foreign intelligence departments, so there is a real link between those who flee people and smuggle fuel and gasoline, for example, from Zawiya, from Sabratha and other places to Malta and Italy, because they have partners on European soil.
With the return of the government division with the formation of Parliament for a new government headed by Fathi Pashaga, and the dismissal of its predecessor, which was formed under the political agreement in Geneva headed by Abdel Hamid Dabaiba, who refused to hand over power to the new government, the armed militias regained their influence and importance, after Fathi Pashaga, appointed by Parliament and Dabaiba, resorted to them each to confront his opponent.
However, these new transformations imposed a remarkable change in the map of alliances between these armed formations, which were in one alliance two years ago, but since the middle of this year they have been facing each other in the context of the new conflict, from which they gained new security and material advantages, which strengthened their power and danger to the future of the country. She lives under her threat and the mercy of her endless struggles until she begins anew.
After the clashes that took place recently in the Libyan capital, Tripoli , the map of the spread of rival militias for power in the country changed, and they repositioned them in order to control strategic locations.
Tripoli is under the control of the Dabaiba government, which is supported by several armed militias such as the “Stability Support Apparatus” and the “Deterrence Forces,” which are two of the most powerful militias, along with the “Support for the Constitution and Elections” force, the “Forsan Janzour” brigade, which is stationed west of the capital, and the “Rahba” battalion. Shields" in the Tajoura area.
In return, the government of Fathi Pashaga is supported by the 777 Brigade led by Haitham al-Tajouri and the "Al-Nawasi" Brigade.
Change the map of the militias
Although it did not participate strongly in the recent clashes, the "Deterrence" militia has become the biggest winner in the recent events, after taking control of positions where its opponents were deployed in the Al-Nawasi Brigade and the Tagouri Brigade, which are supported by the Fathi Pashaga government.
The influence of the deterrence militia extended far beyond Mitiga International Airport and its surroundings, and extended to the entire Andalusian neighborhood and its vital areas and institutions, such as the Prime Ministry and the headquarters of the National Oil Corporation.
As for the “stability support” militias, their geographical spread did not change significantly, but they strengthened their positions in the Green Plateau and Abu Salim neighborhood, and this militia was satisfied with the large financial support it received, and in a larger size than “deterrence”, which made it the striking force that is relied upon among Forces loyal to the outgoing government of Abdul Hamid al-Dabaiba, which is empowered by a number of militias in continuing in power and not handing it over to the government of Fathi Pashaga, elected by parliament.
A new militia emerged from the Libyan city of Al-Zawiya and includes thousands of militants who fled from eastern Libya to the west years ago after the success of the Libyan National Army in eliminating terrorist organizations in 2014. Sources confirm that this militia has a close relationship with the terrorist Brotherhood organization and is highly ideologically extremist.
Observers believe that changing the map of the militias in Libya will enhance the position of Abdul Hamid Al-Dibiya, and he may become the strongman of Libya after his followers won the last Tripoli battle.
A clear change has occurred in the balance of forces of those militias stationed in the capital. Both the "Al-Nawasi" and "Al-Tagouri" militias have become outside the equation as they are currently being chased, while the shares of supporting stability and deterrence have increased, especially after obtaining spoils that are expected to increase their power.
The increase in the shares of the Special Deterrence Forces, whose involvement in the fight alongside Dabaiba came as a surprise that changed the balance of battle forces, in light of the keenness of these forces and their head, Abdel Raouf, who hates to remain neutral in the midst of all the recent conflicts,
In the future, it may wage battles to establish its unilateral authority over the capital, in light of what is being reported about its support from major Western countries.
These behaviors show that the main goal of these people is to make money and obtain spoils, similar to the behavior of bandits, including moral abuse of opponents, which was translated in placing Tagouri's personal car in front of the Tripoli Zoo.
There are many complaints from Libyan human rights organizations about the increasing number of arrests of citizens by armed groups whose affiliation with any security apparatus is not known precisely, which impedes efforts to direct the case and know the charges against the citizen and when he will be presented to the prosecution, or follow up his conditions and know where he is being held for several months.